How it works

Four steps. One line.

  1. 01

    Define

    Something measurable, and the source that answers it.

  2. 02

    Launch

    Seed both sides. The market opens at 50 / 50.

  3. 03

    Trade

    Prices are pool shares. They move as people take sides.

  4. 04

    Settle

    The source decides. Winners take the pool.

Anatomy

Every market is the same shape.

Sample

Not tradable

Will Dubai exceed 45°C on 15 July?

Closes
15 Jul 2026
Source
NOAA
Yes 64¢No 36¢
Buy YESBuy NO

Settlement

Reality settles it.

No founder decides
The resolver is named before anyone trades.
Silence costs time, not money
Miss the deadline and anyone can refund everybody.
Payouts are pulled
Nothing moves until you claim it.
Fees come from the losing side
2% total. A void takes nothing.
Open marketsFull mechanics